Description

This analysis provides a forecast of GRT6719 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.070354 0.076056 0.082179 0.089274 0.097307 0.106166 0.116737
2025-08-31 0.060341 0.068008 0.076777 0.087663 0.100979 0.116959 0.137940
2025-09-07 0.054903 0.063870 0.074637 0.088764 0.107202 0.131042 0.165260
2025-09-14 0.049541 0.058946 0.070643 0.086636 0.108578 0.138693 0.185286
2025-09-21 0.046040 0.055843 0.068410 0.086231 0.111814 0.148951 0.210804
2025-09-28 0.042926 0.052879 0.065958 0.085073 0.113596 0.157090 0.234594
2025-10-05 0.041747 0.052314 0.066585 0.088173 0.121865 0.176372 0.282091
2025-10-12 0.040201 0.051088 0.066129 0.089552 0.127554 0.192364 0.328454
2025-10-19 0.038539 0.049554 0.065067 0.089832 0.131402 0.205751 0.374006
2025-10-26 0.036944 0.047993 0.063819 0.089650 0.134368 0.217978 0.421498
2025-11-02 0.034808 0.045519 0.061031 0.086722 0.132127 0.219631 0.443912
2025-11-09 0.033131 0.043622 0.058989 0.084829 0.131500 0.224409 0.476516
2025-11-16 0.031753 0.042141 0.057560 0.083956 0.132886 0.234232 0.529855
2025-11-23 0.030386 0.040613 0.055972 0.082694 0.133421 0.242456 0.583716
2025-11-30 0.029643 0.039982 0.055751 0.083775 0.138689 0.262861 0.692914
2025-12-07 0.028329 0.038411 0.053926 0.081843 0.137588 0.267590 0.747869
2025-12-14 0.027432 0.037439 0.053012 0.081478 0.139705 0.281065 0.851350
2025-12-21 0.026464 0.036313 0.051778 0.080415 0.140182 0.290340 0.945693
2025-12-28 0.026295 0.036427 0.052602 0.083267 0.149698 0.327852 1.240693
2026-01-04 0.025845 0.036070 0.052603 0.084535 0.155806 0.357574 1.553093
2026-01-11 0.025252 0.035453 0.052117 0.084792 0.159548 0.381156 1.882374
2026-01-18 0.024626 0.034753 0.051449 0.084624 0.162226 0.402217 2.258856
2026-01-25 0.023634 0.033419 0.049605 0.081933 0.158197 0.397979 2.357244